Oh I do like to be beside the (Mediterranean) seaside

For years we have heard about the mediterranean diet and the anomalous finding that despite relatively high dietary fat intake the people living in Greece, Italy, Southern France (in particular) have very low frequency of vascular disease. This has been ascribed to the particular characteristics of the ‘mediterranean diet’ with its high intake of olive oil, especially extra-virgin olive oil, which is rich in polyphenols and monounsaturated fat, and mixed nuts which are rich in polyphenols, monounsaturated fat, and polyunsaturated fat, including alpha-linolenic acid.

A recently published article in the PNEJM actually performed the first big prospective randomized trial of primary prevention of vascular disease in high risk men and women, over 55 for men, over 60 for women, with other risk factors or type 2 diabetes. The intervention was dietary advice to eat a mediterranean diet with extra extra-virgin olive oil (1 litre a week!) or extra mixed nuts (30 g a day).

They stopped the trial early as there were much more composite endpoints (myocardial infarction, stroke or cardiovascular death) in the controls.

The diet included advice to use extra-virgin olive oil as the only dietary oil (including for cooking) and at least 7 glasses of wine a week.

I think I am part way there….

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Bugs in the news

Many thanks to Girish Deshpande for sending me a link to an Australian news item about probiotics and their use in the preterm, a 2 minute video clip for your edification.

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-04-10/new-hope-for-premature-babies/4619984

The excellent science blogs ‘Phenomena’ have an article about probiotics, not at all neonatal, but talking about the overall importance of microbiome manipulation for the future.

I spoke about the science of probiotics in Atlanta 2 days ago at the organization of Georgia neonatologists, Annie followed with a talk about the politics of probiotics, which was of course the title of a recent article that we published with John Lantos.

I usually think of the GI microbiome in terms of what bugs are in the colon, this new article (Milisavljevic V, Garg M, Vuletic I, Miller J, Kim L, Cunningham T, Schroder I: Prospective assessment of the gastroesophageal microbiome in vlbw neonates. BMC Pediatrics 2013, 13(1):49). analyzed the microbiome of the stomach and esophagus in very preterm infants in an NICU, many of the samples grew germs and they were not very nice ones. Coagulase negative staph and a range of potentially pathogenic Gram negative organisms were found.

We cannot keep the gut of the preterm baby sterile. Encouraging colonization with good probiotic organisms, several of which, with good quality control, are available in the USA and elsewhere in the world, is both rational and evidence based. ABCDophilus, used in the recently completed and positive ProPrems trial is actually made in the USA.

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My tribute to Margaret Thatcher

Annie keeps telling me I should write something about Maggie. I can do no better than to redirect anyone who wants a more honest evaluation of her legacy than all the hagiography in the press over the last few days to this article http://www.salon.com/2013/04/09/the_woman_who_wrecked_great_britain/.

I will quote one sentence ‘Margaret Thatcher was a zealot, a friend to the worst mass murderers of the 1980s, a force for antisocial cruelty, and her violent means of ending the great British experiment in social democracy made the country a more brutal, less equal country’. Farewell Maggie.

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Parents can do stuff.

A report from Mount Sinai hospital in Toronto of an innovative program to integrate parents much more into the day to day care of babies in the NICU. (O’Brien K, Bracht M, Macdonell K, McBride T, Robson K, O’Leary L, Christie K, Galarza M, Dicky T, Levin A et al: A pilot cohort analytic study of family integrated care in a canadian neonatal intensive care unit. BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth 2013, 13(Suppl 1):S12.) Free access to full text.This is a pilot study performed as a prospective case-control design. Babies who were no longer ventilated, but could be stable on CPAP, and had more than 50% of their feeds enterally were eligible if a parent was available to spend at least 8 hours a day in the NICU.

There was a fairly intensive educational intervention, and the parents took over a lot of the things that are currently usually done by the nurses, for 8 hours a day between the hours of 7 am and 8 pm.

‘Parents were also expected to provide care for their infant(s), especially in the areas of feeding, bathing, dressing, holding, and providing skin-to-skin care, perform basic charting, and maintain a record of their own learning regarding their proficiency in providing care for their infant(s) in the NICU. Nurses remained responsible for more technical aspects of the infant’s care, such as insertion of nasogastric catheters, placement of CPAP prongs, oral suctioning, and adjustment of oxygen concentrations.’

The primary outcome of this pilot was to a measure of growth, the change in the z score between enrollment and 21 days. It was a little better in the Family Integrated Care Infants, but not significantly. Among the other outcomes they examined, there were many more mothers breastfeeding at discharge, and perhaps fewer nosocomial infections, less retinopathy and fewer reports of adverse incidents.

Now this isn’t the most rigorous design, but I think it was appropriate for this pilot project, and it certainly suggests that integrating families more into the care of their babies may have substantial benefits on short term outcomes.

I asked Katharina Staub, a parent representative who is founder and president of the Canadian Premature Babies Foundation to comment:

As a parent of premature twins born at 27 weeks in 2008, I can only applaud this type of approach to the care of premature infants.

Having spoken to one of the mothers who participated in this initial study, it was clear that her participation in the study made for a very positive experience in the NICU. Her anxiety was reduced because of her extensive involvement in the daily care of her baby.

For parents it is empowering to be supported by the staff in the training of how to take care of your baby in the NICU. It gives you confidence to be part of the healing of their child.

What most parents view as normal with a full term child, the act of parenting, feeding, caring for the infant is not so easy in the NICU. This type of care gives a great basis for bonding with your child. It will be interesting to see the results of the Canada wide study that has started in 16 centres.

Katharina Staub Canadian Premature Babies Foundation.

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Neonatal Updates #28

Ritter BC, Nelle M, Perrig W, Steinlin M, Everts R: Executive functions of children born very preterm-deficit or delay? Eur J Pediatr 2013, 172(4):473-483. In the last updates I mentioned a good review article of executive function in ex-preterm infants. This new article compares ex-very preterm infants to controls as they get older. In the ex-preterm group who were younger (8 to 10 years old) there was a significant decrement in their executive function abilities. In the older ones (10 to 12 years old) in contrast there was no difference from controls. The authors interpret this as showing that the lower executive function abilities described in the very preterm group are a delay, rather than a deficit.

Jain A, Deshpande P, Shah P: Peripherally inserted central catheter tip position and risk of associated complications in neonates. J Perinatol 2013, 33(4):307-312. When you put in a picc in a very preterm baby, if the tip of the catheter sticks in the mid-clavicular region, it is more likely to infiltrate and need removal. On the other hand if you can get it a little further, to the middle third of the clavicle so the tip starts to turn downward, then the results are as good as getting in the SVC.

Benzies K, Magill-Evans J, Hayden K, Ballantyne M: Key components of early intervention programs for preterm infants and their parents: A systematic review and meta-analysis. BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth 2013, 13(Suppl 1):S10. This review examined which components of early intervention programs are useful. They conclude ‘Positive and clinically meaningful effects of early interventions were seen in some psychosocial aspects of mothers of preterm infants.’ which is great. They did not identify which components of the interventions improve preterm outcomes, which is probably the only way we can get funding for them

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Spitting Up, it is normal

A new study in Pediatrics asked parents how they would feel about a hypothetical scenario. They gave a history of a patient who is spitting up, possiting, regurgitating or whatever you want to call it, and either gave it  a disease label GERD, gastro-esophageal reflux DISEASE, or not. They also told half of the parents (factorial design) that medications were probably ineffective. (Scherer LD, Zikmund-Fisher BJ, Fagerlin A, Tarini BA: Influence of “gerd” label on parents’ decision to medicate infants. Pediatrics 2013.) Once the label was attached to the clinical scenario, parents were more likely to want to treat the baby with medications, even when they had been told that they don’t work!

This is accompanied by a short and pertinent editorial with a good title. ‘The hazards of medicalizing variants of normal’. Carey WB:Pediatrics 2013.

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The girl who demanded school (not neonatology)

This is a great TEDx talk from a girl from Kenya who…. well read the description on the Guardian page and watch the talk. Very inspiring tale, (after the nauseating start).

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Multiple multiple comparisons

No I am not perseverating; this post is about something not solely neonatal, but very important to clinical research. Recently a psychology investigator became intrigued that many studies of functional MRI produced extremely high correlation coefficients, that is, the relation between brain activity in the region of interest and the task the subjects were set (such as choosing something) was very frequently enormously high.

The relevance to neonatology is of course that fMRI is increasingly used to show how different premie brains are to the rest of humanity.

So this investigator examined how the data being produced were being analyzed (Vul E, Harris C, Winkielman P, Pashler H: Puzzlingly high correlations in fMRI studies of emotion, personality, and social cognition. Perspectives on psychological science 2009, 4(3):274-290). It turns out that many studies look at brain activity in a particular 3-dimensional place ‘a voxel’ (volumetric pixel) and look at how it changes with a particular task compared to baseline. All well and good, except that depending on the resolution of the study here may be as many as 500,000 voxels to look at.

What many studies have done is to look initially at all of the voxels, then to select only those that have a greater than average change in activity. After that they produce a correlation coefficient based solely on those voxels that showed a positive correlation, the data from the others being deleted. The authors of this investigation realized that this could artificially inflate, or even produce, significant correlations when there were not real correlations. They went as far as to artificially produce a completely random data set and then did exactly the same thing to that data set as other investigators do to real fMRI data. Not too surprisingly they showed that selecting significant data, and then analyzing only those data that you have already decided are significant, is extremely biased, and can produce significant results from random data.

This has been followed by a really interesting study (Bennett CM, Baird AA, Miller MB, Wolford GL: Neural correlates of interspecies perspective taking in the post-mortem atlantic salmon: an argument for proper multiple comparisons correction. Journal of Serendipitous and Unexpected Results 2011, 1:1-5). The authors took a dead salmon. They then performed fMRI of the salmon and… well I will let the authors explain ‘The [dead] salmon was shown a series of photographs depicting human individuals in social situations with a specified emotional valence, either socially inclusive or socially exclusive. The salmon was asked to determine which emotion the individual in the photo must have been experiencing.’ They then repeated the fMRI, they analyzed the result using standard methods, which showed that the dead salmon was very sensitive to human social stress. Now I must admit that, although the study was published in a peer reviewed journal (the journal of serendipitous and unexpected results jsur.org) this is the only paper that this journal has ever published, even though their website suggests that they have been preparing their first issue for about 3 years now.

What this means is that the fMRI results as analyzed in a large number of papers is questionable. Even if the data are reliable, the analysis can produce highly significant results if they are analyzed inappropriately. fMRI has been used in follow up studies in several studies of preterm infants, I don’t know if these inappropriate techniques of analysis were implicated, partly because as the authors of the first study note, the description of the methods is often very sketchy, so you wouldn’t necessarily realize what had been done. The other thing that it might mean is that the next time you eat salmon, it may understand how you feel, especially if it is sushi…

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Weekly Updates #27 or whatever… I’ll have to think of a new title for these posts…

Troger B, Muller T, Faust K, Bendiks M, Bohlmann MK, Thonnissen S, Herting E, Gopel W, Hartel C: Intrauterine Growth Restriction and the Innate Immune System in Preterm Infants of </=32 Weeks Gestation. Neonatology 2012, 103(3):199-204. Infants born with IUGR often have low white blood cell counts, and neutrophil counts, in addition, this study seems to show that there are functional immune deficits also, interleukin levels were lower in the IUGR babies when their blood cell cultures were stimulated, than preterm infants who had normal growth.

An issue of Early Human Development with a section about ‘Psychosocial development of adolescent preterm children’, which includes a review by Saroj Saigal on Quality of life of former premature infants during adolescence and beyond. Early Hum Dev 2013, 89(4):209-213. As you would expect it is excellent. Also if you are at all unsure of the concept of Executive Function, there is a very high quality review from Peter Anderson’s group in Melbourne (Burnett AC, Scratch SE, Anderson PJ: Executive function outcome in preterm adolescents. Early Hum Dev 2013, 89(4):215-220.) This is the group that has done more than any other to study this issue in former preterm infants, and they explain the concepts as well as reviewing the data.

Harvey ME, Nongena P, Gonzalez-Cinca N, Edwards AD, et al: Parents’ experiences of information and communication in the neonatal unit about brain imaging and neurological prognosis: a qualitative study. Acta Paediatrica 2013, 102(4):360-365. Preterm babies (and others in the NICU) often get head ultrasounds, and brain MRI as  a routine. You may remember that Annie and I wrote a commentary recently which bemoaned the fact that no-one had bothered to ask parents is they thought this was a good idea. Well it looks like the group of David Edwards in London is doing that. This nice qualitative study explored the experiences of parents around receiving information about brain imaging. Parents found themselves to be passive recipients of information. I don’t see in this article any questioning of the usefulness of brain imaging for parents, but that may be coming.

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To blindly go where no man….

Do we really need to blind research projects? And if so which parts of them? There is good empirical data that randomization must be masked, it is important that at the moment a patient is enrolled in a study the investigators don’t know which group they are going to be in. That way we can avoid many selection biases.

There is much less good empirical data about the effects of masking the intervention, although it is very likely that when it is possible (and it is not always feasible) masking is a good way to reduce many types of bias. Unfortunately there are sometimes reports of trials as being ‘double-blind’ where it is not always clear what that means.

One thing that can almost always be blinded, even if the intervention can not be blinded, is the evaluation of the outcomes. Measurement of development on standardized scales, for example, can often be performed by blinded individuals, even when the intervention (for example, giving a blood transfusion) can not reasonably be blinded.

A new article in the CMAJ (Hrobjartsson A, Thomsen AS, Emanuelsson F, Tendal B, Hilden J, Boutron I, Ravaud P, Brorson S: Observer bias in randomized clinical trials with measurement scale outcomes: a systematic review of trials with both blinded and nonblinded assessors. CMAJ 2013, 185(4):E201-211.) compared the outcomes from RCTs where there was both a blinded and an unblinded assessment of the same outcome. There are not many such studies, as you might imagine, but they were able to find 16. They found that, although some studies found no difference, others found substantial effects. and overall there was an exaggerated estimate of the treatment effect by 68%. This is a follow on from another article from the same group that looked at how blinding of dichotomous outcomes are affected (link here) which showed that on average Odds Rations were exaggerated by 36%.

I was once designing a trial of blood transfusion, and I was trying to think of how to blind it, in the end, the idea of having blood hanging by the babies bedside attached to a fake IV pump that didn’t actually work, but still plugged into their IV was abandoned. Quite rightly I think. But we were still able to mask the evaluation of the objective outcome.

A nice introduction to some of the major issues with evaluation of research results is the paper ‘5 ways statistics can fool you—Tips for practicing clinicians‘ by West and Dupras, Vaccine march 2013. Although the discussion is slanted toward studies of vaccines, the ‘tips’ apply everywhere,

(i) consider clinical and statistical significance separately,

(ii) evaluate absolute risks rather than relative risks,

(iii) examine confidence intervals rather than p values,

(iv) use caution when considering isolated significant p values in the setting of multiple testing, and

(v) keep in mind that statistically non-significant results may not exclude clinically important benefits or harms.

Rules for life!

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